Side-by-side · Software Engineer
Phoenix vs Raleigh
Move Value
+$2k
real, after tax + COL · per year
Career Velocity
7/10
Phoenix: 6/10 → step-up
10-Year Outlook
+$55k
± $94k confidence band
| Phoenix | Raleigh | |
|---|---|---|
| P50 salary, role | $132k | $133k |
| State + local income tax | 2.2% | 4.3% |
| After-tax income | $98k | $96k |
| Cost of living (US = 100) | 107 | 103 |
| Median 1BR rent | $1741/mo | $1674/mo |
| Real purchasing power | $91k | $93k |
| Career Velocity (this role) | 6/10 | 7/10 |
| Career Velocity v1 (0–100) | 56 · Moderate | 74 · Strong |
| Walkability (0–10) | 4 | 4 |
| Outdoors (0–10) | 8 | 7 |
Who should make this move
Choose Raleigh if…
- ·You want $2k more real income per year on day one.
- ·Your field's Career Velocity is at least as good in Raleigh (7/10).
- ·Your 10-year picture lands $55k ahead.
- ·Research Triangle stability with low cost and rising salaries.
Stay in Phoenix if…
- ·You're optimizing for what Phoenix uniquely offers: low cost, low taxes, fast-growing logistics and semiconductor base.
A note on the numbers: Salaries are role-P50 from BLS-style bands. Tax is statutory state + local at ~$110k single. The 10-year outlook uses a 3-year promotion cadence with a small velocity adjustment, 2.5% COL inflation, and discounts to today's dollars. Full assumptions on the methodology page.